The modelling device of forecasting of demographic parameters of region is offered in the article. In basis of it lays using of regression analysis method. Scripts of socio-economic development of Sverdlovsk region for the period of 2006 − 2015 under the factors entering into models are developed. Results of the forecast of the basic parameters of demographic sphere of Sverdlovsk region for the period up to 2015 are resulted.

The basic problems of development of socio-demographic sphere in Sverdlovsk region at the present stage are considered. The methodical approach of the account of influence of the enterprises of the large integrated structures on indicators socio-demographic safety of territories of municipal level is presented. The approbation estimation of influence of the enterprises of the large integrated structures on socio-demographic safety on an example of municipal unions of Sverdlovsk region for 2000-2006 is executed.